MDA - Market Direction Analysis Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 677.58

+0.3%

Nov 5 4:00 PM EST

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: c.hinton who wrote (69808)	2/22/2001 2:18:30 AM
From: Psycho-Social	Read Replies (1) of 99985

Long-Term Market Peak in Mid 60's: While I don't claim to understand everything that influences the Stock Market, my working assumption is that demographics are the primary force underlying long term trends. From the mid-20's onward, the immigration adjusted birth rate slid downward. Although pre-1910 data is sketchy, I believe the birth rate rose gradually from 1905 onwards. Thus, during the late 60's, the number of people entering their 40's gradually declined with each passing year, while the number entering their 60's gradually rose. Through some mechanism I don't fully understand, this pattern, in both the U.S. and Japan, correlates with negative long term Market trends.

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next