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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 90.35+0.4%Nov 6 4:00 PM EST

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To: Square_Dealings who wrote (64183)2/22/2001 8:24:24 AM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) of 116752
 
Lease rates up

Gold lease rates have really shot up. This is bad for the carry trade
and the producer hedging contango as the cost of borrowing has
increased (in US Dollar terms forwards are at a mere 3.70% on one year, and 3.83% on three years, hardly worth the bother). The other side of the trade: likely to be six month T-
bills to five year treasury notes, haven't traded all that well
either.
kitco.com

There are a few theories about these lease rates. Many are suggesting
that a substantial sale (of gold that had been leased, so it
eliminates liquidity)from a non-WAG central bank has hit the market.
That has happened before, but I believe there is another
explaination. Could it be that a CB or two have rerated the credit
quality of this lending strategy, and are demanding a higher return
to compensate? Or, has a CB withdrawn from the practice? Either would
be a major bullish development for POG.
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