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Biotech / Medical : Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)
VRTX 433.94-0.7%3:59 PM EST

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To: rkrw who wrote (482)2/22/2001 4:10:09 PM
From: IRWIN JAMES FRANKEL  Read Replies (3) of 1169
 
I said: <<I do think there is a significant market* in non-responders and non-tolerators to ribavirin and Intron A and that pegylation of the interferon alpha will not eliminate the martket* opportunity, although it will reduce the market*.>>>

rkrw replies: "I disagree with the last part of your statement. There's an enormous foot race going on now to create a superior replacement to the ribavirin part of the combination. If anything, I think the pegylated version will expand the market."

I think we agree but I just wrote inartfully. The "market*" which I referred to is HCV patients that do not respond to combo (ribavirin + Intron A). I talked about that "market*" because it is open to any new treatment that works. When Peg-Intron is combined with ribavirin it will treat effectively more people (expanding the market, as you used the word) reducing the market* (my use) opportunity for a new drug.

Admittedly, if VRTX or anyone else offers a far better drug than ribavirin it will take the sales from ICN/SGP. No company would be happier than Roche to have a replacement for ribavirin. They had to hate what SGP did to them by getting approval "bundled".

A triple combo has been the prediction that many have made. Could the Vertex drug be the 3rd drug in the Combo?

Respectfully,

ij
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