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Technology Stocks : Nokia (NOK)
NOK 6.590+0.9%9:30 AM EST

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To: laodeng who wrote (9398)2/22/2001 8:22:06 PM
From: Eric L  Read Replies (1) of 34857
 
re: Technology mix for Y2000 (updated unofficial from EMC)

<< FYI, EMC data is in.>>

Yes. Article here:

Message 15393947

Tech   Subs end 2000    %   % Digital                    

GSM 440.7 million 62,4% 69.1%
CDMA 81.9 million 11.5% 12.8%
TDMA 64.3 million 9.1% 10.2%
PDC 50.8 million 7.1% 7.9%
AMPS 69.3 million 9.9% ---

Total 707.1 million 100% 99.8%


Year 2000 Growth by Technology

GSM: 271 to  440.7 million subs = + 62.6% YTD Growth (169.7 million subs)

CDMA: 50.1 to 81.9 million subs = + 63.5% YTD Growth (31.8 million subs)

TDMA: 35.1 to 64.3 million subs = + 83.1% YTD Growth (29.2 million subs)


EMC Breakout here:

Message 15393947

EMC GSM Forecast here:

gsmworld.com

     Dec 2001  Dec 2002  Dec 2003  Dec 2004  Dec 2005

Cum. 531.6 643.9 742.2 823.6 891.5
Adds 90.9 112.3 98.3 81.4 67.9


Caveat: EMC historically forecasts GSM growth LOW. Never High.

In a September forecast EMC projected worldwide subs (all technologies) at 1.375 billion.

- Eric -
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