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Gold/Mining/Energy : International Precious Metals (IPMCF)

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To: go4it who wrote (11190)6/5/1997 9:34:00 PM
From: Derrick P.   of 35569
 
Speaking of Kitco, pulled this off:
<<
D.A. (wild.times):
To All:

Last I heard a few minutes back platinum was up to around $475. Pa is $225 bid. The
forward, lending and option markets have completely shutdown. Cash market spreads are
$20 wide in platinum and $10 wide in Pa. Small amounts of metal can move the market a
long way. There are a lot of very stressed out people. The biggest losers in the Pa market
are going to be the commercial users. I know of a midsize refiner that is plum out of metal
and needs to turn it into catalytic converters. We may not be too far away from the point
where the politicians get involved. If GM wakes up one morning and finds that the assembly
lines must grind to a halt because of no Pa it will be quite interesting. My guess is that
sometime within the next month or two there will be a workout between Tiger Fund and the
big commercial users of Pa. Until this happens the markets will be totally wild. Never
underestimate how far out of hand these things can get. As I guessed a week or two back
the next run is going on in Pt because this is the only substitute for Pa. It is looking more and
more like the Russians are done with stockpile sales and will only deliver from current
production. If this is the case about 2.0 MM ounces of demand will have to be rationed
through price. This will keep the price of Pa high for many moons to come. Right now
people believe that this is a squeeze that is a short blip and will terminate soon and things
will get back to some semblance of order and prices will retreat sharply. This is clearly
evidenced by the Sept Pa futures trading $50 below spot. If there is a sharp selloff when
Tiger comes to terms or the Russians begin delivering, buy it. The Palladium stocks are
great buys hear because no one believe this rally has legs.
Just got a call that the Platinum, and Palladium are shut down. No dealers making markets,
last Platinum $525 bid. Got to run. More Later. >>

DA gave a heads up on this about a month ago and has been quite accurate. I do not doubt that the government will be looking for a 'solution' for this soon. If IPM got 'run up the flag pole' it would be some very positive attention and could end all this negative publicity.

Derrick
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