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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: Kirk © who wrote (12353)2/24/2001 1:34:21 PM
From: Mr. BSL  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
Kirk Re: What I find interesting is how the S&P500 has stayed pretty much between Bob's +5/-20% window. It would be VERY impressive if it were not for his recommendation to buy TEFQX in Jan. & Feb. 2000 and QQQ in Oct 2000.

If it wasn't for the 60/40 foolishness, and the other foolishness that you cited, you could give me credit for trying. After all, his publication is called Market-Timer and he always advocated going to cash (or totally hedging) if his model ever went bearish.

Bottom line is that he couldn't follow his own model and sit in cash without getting an itchy buy finger. Not that he has a great model (he may), or that he even has a model (who knows).

Marty Zweig says that the biggest mistake he ever made was not following his own indicators once. Elaine G says the same thing concerning the mutual fund she ran in 1988 and 1989. Models are suppose to be soulless barometers that take the emotion out of investing. Why have them if you don't use them?

You are much too kind to Brinker Kirk. <g>

Dick
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