DJ FEER(3/8): Troubled Telecoms Rush To Taiwan To Cut Costs
By Mark Carroll in Taipei ONCE AGAIN, the Taiwanese are beginning to weave their cost-cutting spell. The target this time: telecoms. In the 1990s, Taiwan's ability to manufacture cheaply -- and well -- was instrumental in turning the personal computer from a high-margin, technological wonder into an everyday commodity. Now, as they look to stem losses, telecoms giants such as Ericsson and Motorola are increasingly outsourcing their handset manufacturing to Taiwan. Could Taiwan emerge as the world's dominant handset maker, doing for mobile phones what it did for personal computers? Faced with the twin demons of a highly competitive market driving down prices and the high production costs of manufacturing in Europe and the United States, telecoms companies are moving away from handset production. Sweden's Ericsson recorded over $1.7 billion in losses from its cellphone division last year and now plans to outsource all handset manufacturing. Troubled U.S.-based Motorola faces similar problems. After issuing a profit warning last month, the world's No.2 wireless-handset maker is expected to close four of its 55 plants in the U.S. and Europe this year. That spells good news for the Taiwanese, as both firms look to make the production and design of their cell phones more cost-efficient. In Taiwan, design and manufacturing costs are about half what they are in Europe and the U.S. In January, Ericsson signed a deal, expected to be eventually worth $450 million, with Taiwan's GVC Corp. for the design and production of cellphones. Last year, GVC made about 900,000 cellphones and expects to make 2 million this year on the strength of the Ericsson deal. Acer Communications this year expects to more than double its 2000 shipments of about 4.6 million handsets as orders increase from its main client, Motorola. Like the Ericsson-GVC deal, Acer is hoping that Motorola will also utilize its research and development skills for new cellphone design. Changing economic conditions in Taiwan, especially increasing salaries, make the rise of the mobile-phone manufacturing business different from the growth of the island's PC industry in the 1990s. Now, there is more urgency to save costs. With some analysts warning of shrinking profit margins as competition heats up, the answer is to manufacture in China. "The only companies who will make money are those who design here and then successfully transport the manufacturing to China," says Paul Meyer a securities analyst at Credit Lyonnaise Securities Asia in Taiwan. Taiwanese manufacturers already have strong connections and facilities in China. And manufacturing is increasingly becoming a matter of "simple assembly," according to Alex Hinnawi, spokesman for chipmaker United Microelectronics Co. It's not just cellphones where the Taiwanese are reducing production costs. The manufacturing of broadband infrastructure is also seen as fertile ground for design and production expertise. Taiwan's leading network-equipment manufacturer, D-Link Corp., is planning to move into Internet infrastructure-equipment manufacturing for Asia and the U.S. D-Link expects its sales of broadband equipment will triple this year. Last year, D-Link's broadband sales were only about 3% of total sales of $456 million. Taiwan's Market Intelligence Centre reported telecoms equipment industry sales of over $3 billion last year. While this is less than 10% of what Taiwan's PC production sales were last year, the projections for growth are impressive. MIC estimates that in 2003 the industry will produce more than $10 billion worth of products. That is four times the projected growth of the PC industry in Taiwan and twice the projected growth of the world's telecoms industry. The Taiwanese don't have much new to offer. Just the proven ability to enter a fragmented market, figure out where the highest potential segment is and design and produce products for that market. (END) DOW JONES NEWS 02-28-01 05:16 PM |