Siebel Systems (SEBL) - strong buy? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Siebel Systems (SEBL) - strong buy?

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To: shamsaee who wrote (4503)	3/2/2001 11:53:00 PM
From: Mike Buckley	Read Replies (2) of 6974

shamsaee, You need to use a calculator instead of eye-balling the numbers. :) The current yearly estimates on sebl are quite far apart any where from .70 to .84 cents a share. If you took the low estimate it is still about 95% growth ... On the high estimate it is growing at over 120%... The trailing EPS is $.54. The low estimate assumes 30% growth and the high estimate assumes 56% growth. You're right that the stock is trading roughly at 55 times the low estimated earnings (actually, 51) and 43 times the high estimate. That tells you the market is not buying those figures and is definitely looking for a miss. If I understand the logic of your post and am correctly applying it to the accurate numbers, the market is now looking for Siebel to meet estimates whereas it was previously expecting Siebel to beat them. Do I understand your logic and apply it correctly? --Mike Buckley

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