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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 680.44

+0.6%

Dec 19 4:00 PM EST

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To: jmootx who wrote (71220)	3/4/2001 9:52:51 PM
From: Psycho-Social	Read Replies (1) of 99985

Re: A strong bounce in March. No need to convince me (preaching to the faithful); I think there's a pretty good chance of it myself. The only difference, perhaps, is re January 20th onwards. The investment community may get itself so worked up about the possibility of a 3/4 or full point cut that a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" situation could arise, on the 20th or around the CPI release on the 21st. If all the good news is out, the media may return to their focus on "other things", i.e. earnings disappointments. I've done some limited research in my old charts about trading trends in recessionary environments. Isn't it true that rallies tend to occur around Fed easing news, and the declines tend to occur in-between, when the negative consequences of the recession predominate?

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