MARKET TALK: Fed's Stern Sees Heartening Economic Data Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 9:20 (Dow Jones) In a Dow Jones Newswires interview, Minneapolis Fed chief Stern says recent data have been "on the heartening side" though caution is still appropriate on the economic outlook. Remarks consistent with consensus view that Fed still in easing mode, but not before March 20 FOMC meeting. (BB) 9:13 (Dow Jones) Treasurys mixed to modestly higher, despite stock futures showing higher opening for equities, in listless Monday morning trade. Some traders expecting a quiet day if weather disrupts activity in New York on both stock and bond markets. 10-year up 1/32 at 100 13/32, yield unchanged on session at 4.95% (JNP) 9:08 (Dow Jones) "By year-end we look for the (Fed) funds rate to be 4%, 150 basis points below its current level," say economists at Goldman Sachs. (JC) 9:04 (Dow Jones) Merrill's Steve Milunovich says companies not slowing their use of Internet technologies because of economy. Webification is a strategic priority and a cost saver, he says, adding that he is seeing spending on Windows 2000, NT servers, wireless products, and storage. Softer areas include consulting, mainframes, printers and outsourcing. Prioritization is taking place and projects are being delayed. Milunovich also said recent meetings with CIOs revealed budgets were being reduced only recently as CFOs "lower the boom." (TG) 8:56 (Dow Jones) Coca-Cola (KO) gets no love early in the first business day after announcing President Stahl's resignation and formation of new, global operating units. UBS Warburg's Caroline Levy says the shuffle could further delay turnaround in volume growth, and she cuts price target to $52 from $61 and also lowers long-term EPS growth rate estimate to 12% from 14%. She rates the stock a hold. Questions for investors: When will CEO Daft's plan, including venture with Procter & Gamble (PG), produce top- and bottom-line results, and what more can be done with core brands? (GC) 8:49 (Dow Jones) A few reasons why the Nasdaq may be nearing low, from Arnhold's John Roque: A front-page, bearish article in the NY Times (technicians often use these as contrary indicators), a recent road trip showed most clients were realistic about the market and economy, fundamental downgrades in large tech are happening, and Nasdaq has been down for five weeks in a row. "The combination of the change in sentiment, the tremendous oversold reading in Nasdaq, and the extreme downside volume says Nasdaq should bounce," Roque says. That said Roque sees current limit to upside is 2400. (TG) 8:36 (Dow Jones) In raising Engelhard (EC) rating, Lehman says investors increasingly embracing the company's new culture - including new chairman - and future growth prospects. Lehman believes more P/E expansion will occur this year, and raises its 12-month target to $30 from $26. But also says to accumulate shares "opportunistically," as the shares have run up 20% so far this year. (TG) 8:30 (Dow Jones) Stocks are looking at a flattish start to the week. The Nasdaq closed Friday at its lowest level of the current bear market, while the DJIA rebounded sharply from its lows of the session to close with a slight advance. Not much so far on the corporate news front - some management shuffling at Coke (KO), a soft 1Q outlook from Cypress Semi (CY), a possible deal between Wal-Mart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN) - but there is a little data coming later in the form of a NAPM non-manufacturing reading and Challenger layoff numbers. If things thin out on the trading floors later, the action may become a little one-sided. Tsys showing some strength. (TG) (END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-05-01 09:20 AM *** end of story * |