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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis

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To: JRI who wrote (2051)3/6/2001 10:26:21 AM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (2) of 52237
 
JRI,

>>>> I dunno, if I were long, I wouldn't want to see such a huge gap...I'm starting to think there's some juicing going on last hour <<<<

That gap today is fitting nicely with my belief of a retest. As mentioned often, declines of greater than 7% have a high probability of a retest. That doesnt mean it has to get filled today.

On FRI, I more than doubled my long position in the UOPIX where I went from 85% cash to about 55% cash. Just expecting a rally in the NDX to the 2050-2300 region, and then a retest which was supported by todays gap. So that gap is helping make the decision to take profits or hedge my long positions soon. Of course, there is a chance that the gap could get filled today, but I feel that it wont do that today since the market internals are continuing to improve and that I believe that the NAZ/NDX was building a base previously when the market was flat. I realise that many felt that it was negative that the NAZ/NDX didnt do its common strong/quick bounce immediately, but maybe this time it just needed a little base before bouncing.

Dont get me wrong, I am still bearish longer-term and if I had to guess, I would say its a 60/40 chance for LOWER LOWs down the road.

Just noticed that I could get a CLASS 1 SELL signal in the SOX in 1-2 days, so I will be hedging/taking profits soon.
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