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Technology Stocks : Corvis Corporation (CORV)

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To: GraceZ who wrote (335)3/6/2001 7:59:16 PM
From: starpopper  Read Replies (1) of 2772
 
Corvis and "inventory problems"!?

CORV doesn't have inventory problems they have sufficient inventory to supply customers needs beyond the lead time needed for ordering new supplies!

My understanding is that CORV has filled just over $60M in orders out of a 3 year BACKLOG of over $600M! $200M is expected to be realized in 2001! Their balance sheet lists huge inventory levels which are obviously pre-positioned to fulfill some portion of that backlog. NUFO probably experienced a spike in demand from CORV last year and have seen them slow or stop new orders...that's THEIR problem! This makes perfect sense for CORV in this market of low visibility! If CORV has enough inventory to satisfy 6mos-1yr of the backlog, why in the world would they continue to buy the rest of the supplies now when it would only need about 3 months of lead time to take delivery in the future. Especially if CORV customers stretch out delivery of their orders due to "low visibility", and especially if a prolonged downturn lowers the cost of acquiring those supplies in the future!

With a market cap of $2.75B (at $8/shr), $1B in cash ($3/shr), and a net backlog of orders valued at over $500M ($1.5/shr), I have no problem backing up the truck! Book value for this puppy is $4.50 and the shorts have made tons of money on this one already. I firmly believe this is the last round of profits for the shorts in CORV, they won't dare short this baby below $6! They MAY short it to $7 and the momentum may take it to $6, so I'm waiting to triple my holdings between $6-$7 which will give me an average cost of $8.5!

I love this game!

$weet Dream$

$tarpopper
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