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Strategies & Market Trends : Investor sentiment surveys - a technical indicator

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To: Andy H who wrote (61)6/6/1997 3:37:00 PM
From: Q.   of 167
 
AAII bullish sentiment is up to 52%, creeping close to the 55% level that forewarns a certain correction. Bearish sentiment is now as low
as it got before the March correction.

Today's AAII survey results are 52% bullish, 33% neutral, 15% bearish.

For comparison, before the March correction, the lowest bearish reading was 15%, on 2/28. The highest bull reading was the same day at 63%.

Based on the bullish sentiment, we aren't yet to the point where a correction is certain based on 10 years of AAII data. With the way the market has gone up this week, it wouldn't surprise me if the bullish sentiment doesnt go up further at next Friday's report and put it very close to the 55% level.
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