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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis

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To: JRI who wrote (2180)3/7/2001 1:09:22 PM
From: Andy H  Read Replies (1) of 52237
 
I agree with the thought the tech will be revaluated to the 1991-94 valuations. The semi equipment makers will have to fall quite a bit to hit those valuations unless orders pick up right now. In spring 1994, CSCO "warned" that its growth would fall to the 6-8% sequential quarterly growth range (that was viewed as quite a disappointment back then!) and the stock tanked to a forward PE of around 15-and that PE was with those 1994 growth estimates that it would love to have now. Give CSCO a 15 forward PE today even with its barely visible growth rate and you come up with a price target a lot closer to $10 than $20.
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