SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: The Ox who wrote (1115)3/7/2001 4:31:36 PM
From: Sharp_End_Of_Drill  Read Replies (2) of 23153
 
Michael, hope you don't mind if I answer you question for Quehubo.

<<<<Any thoughts on JDSU? Looks like a lot of bad news is out. I know that mergers are tough to put a valuation on. Revenue slowdown is significant but the company is still forecasting profitable earnings during the decline. Seems like tough going for the short term but starting to look attractive if one has a horizon past the next 2 or 3 months.>>>>

In my opinion that's just it - "still forecasting profitable earnings". I don't think there's a chance in hell that will happen in the next few quarters, and when (if??) that becomes known then the real damage to the stock price will occur.

I dub this phenomenon the Fallacy of the Second Half Rebound, and that is why I'm in agreement with Hays and others that the third quarter will be the time of reckoning for tech. I'm still waiting for the tech rally before the big bust, but so far this one has fizzled - probably thanks to BRCM & JDSU plus the reality comments from INTC.

But then again maybe I'm wrong and will miss out on the next MSFT or CSCO...... What are the odds?

Sharp

P.S. The likes of MSDW have been sniffing around Hydralift of late. Now what could they being doing? Perhaps DD for and acquisition? Buying or selling - anybody know (Big Dog where are you)?
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext