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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)

CSCO 72.10

+1.4%

3:59 PM EST

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To: pass pass who wrote (49656)	3/8/2001 11:52:58 AM
From: RetiredNow	Read Replies (4) of 77397

For the entire CSCO public history from 1990-1999, their PE has averaged 50. Then it went bonkers in 2000. Now in 2001 it's around 40. So we have regressed to the mean. I would really like to see the PE stay at the revenue growth rate from now on, so we can get some stability. For Fiscal 2001, Cisco will have grown about 55% from the previous year, assuming that the next two quarters are flat sequentially. Then in 2002, we can expect growth of anywhere from 35-40%, if the economy recovers. So do the math and you have a good idea of what the price should be.

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