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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity

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To: Tommaso who wrote (1202)	3/8/2001 2:47:59 PM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (3) of 23153

Cramer has done fairly well on his calls. He is a trader, and will go in and out for a few points, however - This means LOTS of in/out , sometimes inside of one week. I've used him as a short term indicator, and he's okay in that role. (If I have a stock going from say 40 to 48 over three months, and I gain another 3/4 point because he had me wait another two days, it's worth while) He urged people to cut back on tech since Late September. Urging became strident in November / early December. He got on optical networkers relatively early and then got out. He has stayed away from semis most of this year. He has roatated in and out of drug stock at about the right time over the past 2 years, usually for about a 3-8% gain. He has also been good with financials and brokerage stocks. He has NOT been good with E&P, rarely talks about it, although some times mentions the drillers. So the question is - Is he a coincident (same time) indicator OR a lagging indicator for E&P ? If he's coincident we could see anothe 10-25 % upside. If he's lagging, maybe 0-5 % more upside and time to start selling.

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