Is the Blood Running already? Ex-sanguination being marketed.
Nelson: Buy Now While Blood Runs Through the Streets (BFB) (from Investools email, I do not have an interest in BFB, just the use of blood money ;^} )
Mutual fund flows confirm that investors have become risk averse. For example, just $33.5 billion in new cash flowed into stock funds during January 2001, down from $41 billion last year. Most of this cash went into value or money market funds. Only $100 million went into tech sector funds, a mammoth drop from $9.5 billion in January 2000.
"Today's investors lack a long-term outlook," says Vita Nelson. She reminds investors of the wisdom of buying low and selling high, and she quotes Intel legend Andy Grove: "all recessions have one thing in common: they end." Nelson advises buying into today's "blood in the streets" market, noting that times of fear usually prove to be great times to stock up. "That approach has worked well in the past 20 years and more, and for consistent long-term investors it won't change any time soon," she says.
Nelson recommends buying Brown Forman (BFB), maker and marketer of a wide array of distilled spirits, wines and other beverages. Its Jack Daniels whiskey and Fetzer wines powered earnings ahead over the past six years, and Nelson sees earnings continuing to increase in the high single-digits. The current popularity of defensive stocks pushed Brown Forman shares close to their 52-week high of $72, and Nelson calls the firm "a defensive rather than a capital appreciation play" and cites its high dividend yield. |