"..one has to wonder about what that poster from yahoo, tryharder(?), "predicted" months ago.."
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Ramsey,
Tryhard, who posted on Raging Bull (last post Oct. 19, 2000) talked of plans for China Telecom, not Mobile...
"Yes China Telecom! After the Unicom news fully digested tomorrow your time, I will start to
bring the second subject: China Telecom plans for a even bigger 1.9 GHz CDMA network in
China to include possibly 220 million CDMA users. Hold on to your hat. It will be something
you never heard before.
I am doing my due diligence first and check all sources and data. When it is ready, I will be
the first one, before Qualcomm, to come out making the details available."
At last word, Telecom won't receive its mobile license this year....
Will gprs prospects, seemingly dwindling by the day - and umts forcasts, receding to the horizon - effect Telecom's technology selection? I'm particularly fond of the recent report noting 12kbs as a "more realistic number for reliable data transmission" - it appears that "a number of (gprs) testing houses" presently engaged in testing carriers' networks have a different perspective than those marketing gprs services and handsets. <g> In addition, Seybold states that gprs networks won't be "up and running" until 2002, with the Durlacher Survey stating the gprs won't "take off" until some time in 2003. It could make for a grumpy Christmas 2001 in Euroland...
Would MIII find a pleasing symmetry in one gsm carrier (Mobile), one cdma (Telecom), and one with both (Unicom)?
"...why would China go WCDMA?.."
To appear internationally balanced? I wouldn't be surprised if Mobile is saddled with wcdma - to appease Europe and its vendors - many of whom have made serious investments in China (in order, of course, to dominate markets and stifle indigenous competition).
There was talk of requiring Telecom to go td-scdma for 3G, but to do so would be a death warrant in light of its immature development and technical limitations... also, attracting foreign investment (except, of course, from Siemens) would be impossible...
I think Mobile will be required to wait in the rain for gprs and wcdma, Unicom will go 1x ev, with Telecom the wild card...
ben |
