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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 223.95+1.7%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: Jerome who wrote (43471)3/11/2001 10:39:09 AM
From: michael97123  Read Replies (2) of 70976
 
biz.yahoo.com
Jerome,
As the inventory correction which is occurring intersects with a gradual recovery which ultimately spreads to new tech purchases by now reluctant companies, tech should rise again. That's why intc maintains its capex spending. The article above draws such a conclusion I believe and the timing still seems to be this year, not next. Nasdaq should anticipate this in advance. So fundamentally, everything points to a bottom, even if we take a flop(maybe another 10% with an air of panic) thru 2000 in the next few days. Or perhaps we will rise from these levels without a necessity for a fall. Mike

PS Did you read historian JK Galbraiths op ed piece today and what appeared to be Paul Krugmans response. Krugman is a liberal economist arguing for an active, almost inflationary fed. That's my view of how we might have gotten to this current state is the failure of AG to accept a point or two of additional inflation in the short term in order to guarantee a soft landing. He raised rates too much. Now he needs to lower them just as quickly and again risk a little inflation(grease) into the equation.
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