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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 681.92

-0.7%

Dec 31 4:00 PM EST

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To: Les H who wrote (71706)	3/11/2001 2:51:13 PM
From: Doug	Read Replies (1) of 99985

L.H: From Dec. I have maintained that the SEMI's are in a cyclic downturn. The current valautions of the SEMI's are extremely mudied because of the splits during bubble days.. My work sugest many are atleast 50-60% overvalued . Like in 98, there is about 3 mths of denial, 2 mths of hard selling and 2 mths of accumulation. We are still in the denial stage. Our Board members would be wise to use 98 lows as risk datums.

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