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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis

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To: StockOperator who wrote (2545)3/11/2001 8:03:49 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (2) of 52237
 
SO- I'm thinking, that increase in consumer debt in Jan. (that 12% advance...incredibly high...unsustainable...on top of a large, existing debt balance) was the "blow-off top"....at first, after folks have waited for stocks to come back (and they don't)....one- denies reality- tries one final push of the consumer debt button to make things right.....one more trip to the happy farm........THEN, comes the eventual "reality" phase....."time to sober up!".....and the pullback in spending....

I think we are going to see some big-time pullbacks in consumer spending coming up- despite the pump priming...corporations have already faced reality (logical, that they would face reality first...)

Old habits hard to break....in this sense, i think we will see some (but not all) of the psychology of 90's Japan at work....rates going lower, but many folks not biting (on consumer spending)...
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