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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: Zeev Hed who wrote (78623)3/11/2001 11:59:03 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (3) of 436258
 
Margin debt has to come down a LONG way to return to any sort of historical mean vis a vis GDP. A year ago it was running just under 3% I recall (heinz?). It would have to fall to something under 1% before it could be considered in the average range.

As for margin to market cap comparisons, your contention that 1.76% is not extreme is incorrect. I doubt you can find a period in the last 70 years where it is that high.

I think we can agree that it is falling (-g), but it has a long way to go and a much longer way to go to reflect bear market levels.

Cheers.
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