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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 683.47

+0.6%

Nov 28 4:00 PM EST

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To: American Spirit who wrote (71826)	3/12/2001 1:20:07 AM
From: Rational	Read Replies (1) of 99985

I see some stocks in NASDAQ-100 worth little, like AMZN. I see the US$ very bloated; I had the same prognosis about US$ since 1997. The problem is where else would the capital -- that flew from Russian oligarchs (the IMF/WB funding recycled), or the rich of the rest of the world or the exporters (of merchandise and drugs) to US -- go after having come here (kingdom on earth)? It had to shrink through US equity, housing, and then bonds. Investors have lost 4 trillion in equity in a year, but many that have escaped to the safe haven of bonds and treasuries are not immune, because FED is totally hapless and, after a point, will face uncontrollable inflation, making it difficult to lower rates. We are more likely to move sideways and drift downwards in NASDAQ, until that point of devaluation of bonds, treasuries and houses is complete. It is likely that stocks that can grow their revenues and earnings will outperform the market.

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