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Strategies & Market Trends : Analysis Class for Beginners

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To: Arthur Tang who wrote (1275)	3/13/2001 2:11:21 PM
From: MechanicalMethod	Read Replies (1) of 1471

Many techniques begin with a cumulative sum divided by the number of observations in the index. By itself this isn't a valid method but the prediction error can be feed back to the predictor and enhance the prediction. Complex weighting schemes can be applied to what has now become 3 variables instead of just a simple moving average. Instead of a simple average begin with some type of custom weighting scheme. Calculate the error and feed back a weighted value of this error. Apply similar weghts when combining these 2 variables into the third variable.

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