"Natural" and "Unnatural" Evolutions
Young,
You said that "natural evolutions can't be stopped," they can "only be delayed." Maybe we agree here, maybe not. I'll agree with you completely that CHANGE cannot be stopped, only delayed. Sooner or later, even the most resistant human culture must adapt to changed conditions or perish, and as long as our species lives, conditions will change. That's what my book is all about, namely, how changes in the material conditions of life force normally-resistant societies coasting along on cultural inertia to undergo rather rapid and sweeping adjustments.
Where we differ, I think, is in the linear assumption underlying that term "natural evolutions". You're assuming that the PATH of the changes is already determined, that humans have no choices to make other than "forward quickly, without delay" or "forward more slowly and hesitantly, with delays". I don't buy that. That is, like Darwin, I've given up on being teleological, on believing that our ultimate fate is precoded for us. Well, okay, I believe the sun is going to fizzle out some day, and if our species is still around then, we'll be hard put indeed to get along without the sun, but other than such gross aspects of our outcome like that, I think the path we'll follow could be one of many, many choices.
Was the collapse of the Roman Empire and the ensuing reign of barbarianism in Europe a "natural" evolution, a "delay", or merely an "evolution" that lots of people didn't particularly like, that few considered to be "progress", but that was nonetheless an evolution in which human societies adapted to the exhaustion of Rome's scheme of consuming freshly-conquered slave populations, etcetera? When we all adapt to the coming depletion of fossil fuels, we'll most certainly "progress" on to the next phase of our history, but I'm not so sure it's going to be a happy progression for people in a lot of ways, nor is there only one way that human societies can go once those fossil fuels are gone, just as there wasn't just one way for Europe to cope with the repeated denudation of its forests. You get the idea.
For a more detailed critique of the kind of linear, positivist assumption that goes into your position, read Arnold Pacey's very accessible _The Maze of Ingenuity_.
In short, human societies have more options than just "go" or "stop", and one is not necessarily an enemy of progress per se if one opposes certain technological options and supports certain other alternatives. Indeed, the floppy could have been rendered obsolete by the LS-120. The Zip drive wasn't INEVITABLE. And I am no friend of trash incinerators, in my neighborhood or anyone else's.
To avoid angering others on this thread for cluttering things up with digressions, please feel free to email me privately if you want to continue this.
Cheers, Tom (carroll@rpi.edu) |