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Technology Stocks : Cascade Communications (CSCC)

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To: Sonki who wrote (3663)	6/7/1997 5:18:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph	of 3743

FIRST CALL EARNINGS ESTIMATES ASND Ascend Communications 06/02/97 Industry: Com-wo AT&T SIC: 3576 Latest Price: $55.13 1997 P/E: 34.7 Analyst Recommendation: 1.8 QTR QTR FY FY Jun 97 Sep 97 Dec 97 Dec 98 --- --- -- -- CURRENT MEAN EPS 0.38 0.40 1.59 2.08 Number of Brokers 22 21 22 22 Median 0.38 0.41 1.60 2.10 Standard Deviation 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.11 Current High 0.49 0.44 1.69 2.25 Current Low 0.36 0.36 1.50 1.72 Year Ago EPS 0.24A 0.29A 1.00A 1.59 Current vs. Year Ago Change 58% 38% 59% 31% Report Date wk/Jul 9 wk/Oct 10 wk/Jan 16 - EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISION MOMENTUM Up Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0 Up Revisions last 30 days 1 0 0 1 Down Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0 Down Revisions last 30 days 0 1 0 0 EARNINGS ESTIMATES CONSENSUS TRENDS Current Mean 0.38 0.40 1.59 2.08 7-days ago Mean 0.39 0.41 1.59 2.08 30-days ago Mean 0.38 0.41 1.59 2.07 60-days ago Mean 0.37 0.40 1.53 2.02 90-days ago Mean 0.37 0.41 1.55 2.02 COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES AND TRENDS Industry - Com-wo AT&T 9.09 11.06 45.59 56.56 Current vs. Year Ago Change 22% 34% 29% 24% Sector - TECHNOLOGY 9.41 9.59 39.35 47.22 Current vs. Year Ago Change 30% 32% 29% 20% WSJ/DJ US Index 10.72 11.06 43.69 49.42 Current vs. Year Ago Change 10% 15% 14% 13% Ratios Relative To: Company Industry Sector WSJ/DJ P/E on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 34.7 27.81 21.60 18.30 PEG on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 0.77 1.20 1.29 1.56 RECOMMENDATION AND GROWTH RATES RECOMMENDATIONS LONG TERM GROWTH RATES Current Mean 1.8 Next 5 yrs - Median 45% Number of Brokers 24 Number of Brokers 10 Industry Recommendation: 2.0 Industry Growth Rate: 23% 7-days ago Mean 1.7 Next 5 yrs - High 50% 30-days ago Mean 1.7 Next 5 yrs - Low 35% 60-days ago Mean 1.5 Last 5 Years 128% 90-days ago Mean 1.5 Diff. from Industry +0.2 Rel. to Industry 1.9 Diff. from Sector +0.2 Rel. to Sector 2.7 Diff. from WSJ/DJ US +0.4 Rel. to WSJ/DJ US 3.8 Transmitted: 6/3/97 10:10 AM (E_ASND) FIRST CALL EARNINGS ESTIMATES CSCC Cascade Communications 06/02/97 Industry: Com-wo AT&T SIC: 3576 Latest Price: $37.69 1997 P/E: 43.3 Analyst Recommendation: 2.4 QTR QTR FY FY Jun 97 Sep 97 Dec 97 Dec 98 --- --- -- -- CURRENT MEAN EPS 0.19 0.23 0.87 1.30 Number of Brokers 9 9 11 10 Median 0.17 0.22 0.81 1.23 Standard Deviation 0.03 0.04 0.15 0.20 Current High 0.26 0.30 1.12 1.60 Current Low 0.16 0.17 0.70 1.10 Year Ago EPS 0.17A 0.21A 0.72A 0.87 Current vs. Year Ago Change 12% 10% 21% 49% Report Date wk/Jul 11 wk/Oct 10 wk/Jan 23 - EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISION MOMENTUM Up Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0 Up Revisions last 30 days 0 0 0 0 Down Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0 Down Revisions last 30 days 0 0 0 0 EARNINGS ESTIMATES CONSENSUS TRENDS Current Mean 0.19 0.23 0.87 1.30 7-days ago Mean 0.19 0.24 0.89 1.32 30-days ago Mean 0.19 0.24 0.89 1.32 60-days ago Mean 0.24 0.29 1.05 1.56 90-days ago Mean 0.25 0.29 1.10 1.63 COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES AND TRENDS Industry - Com-wo AT&T 9.09 11.06 45.59 56.56 Current vs. Year Ago Change 22% 34% 29% 24% Sector - TECHNOLOGY 9.41 9.59 39.35 47.22 Current vs. Year Ago Change 30% 32% 29% 20% WSJ/DJ US Index 10.72 11.06 43.69 49.42 Current vs. Year Ago Change 10% 15% 14% 13% Ratios Relative To: Company Industry Sector WSJ/DJ P/E on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 43.3 27.81 21.60 18.30 PEG on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 0.96 1.20 1.29 1.56 RECOMMENDATION AND GROWTH RATES RECOMMENDATIONS LONG TERM GROWTH RATES Current Mean 2.4 Next 5 yrs - Median 45% Number of Brokers 10 Number of Brokers 4 Industry Recommendation: 2.0 Industry Growth Rate: 23% 7-days ago Mean 2.4 Next 5 yrs - High 50% 30-days ago Mean 2.4 Next 5 yrs - Low 35% 60-days ago Mean 2.0 Last 5 Years 90% 90-days ago Mean 2.0 Diff. from Industry -0.4 Rel. to Industry 1.9 Diff. from Sector -0.4 Rel. to Sector 2.7 Diff. from WSJ/DJ US -0.2 Rel. to WSJ/DJ US 3.8 Transmitted: 6/3/97 10:17 AM (E_CSCC)

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