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Strategies & Market Trends : Befriend the Trend Trading
SPY 687.57+0.7%Dec 10 4:00 PM EST

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To: TradinSOB who wrote (16897)3/16/2001 2:38:16 AM
From: dougbishop  Read Replies (2) of 39683
 
Has anybody backtested that idea?

Here are some time-related backtests for QQQ 8e/13e/15min.

Hour Total Profit
09 $29.16
10 $39.77
11 $(9.89)
12 $ 5.84
13 $(20.03)
14 $31.89
15 $94.34

It appears that the majority of the money is made between 2 and close. There's also a lot to be made holding overnight and until 11 o'clock. It appears to be a wise thing to avoid the doldrums of 11 to 2.

I ran a separate test that shows that about 40 points were made in the past just following the signal overnight.

The results were similar for QQQ 8e/13s/15 min. I got the best results at QQQ 8e/12e but that is probably just data-mining.

I also tested adding another longer confirming average. It didn't hurt a lot but it didn't help.

D.
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