Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: FrozenZ who wrote (2403)	3/16/2001 8:08:33 AM
From: TobagoJack	of 74559

Hi FrozenZ, This is a start ... along with a bunch of technical techniques and fundamental methods ... Message 15404788 and old fashioned diversification across asset classes, industries, countries, time, and companies should do much of the rest of the job. To try to win by timing alone would be tempting fate, and chances for loss greater than gain. To not try timing at all would be lazy, as stocks make 80% of the gain in 20% of the time, and 80% of the loss in another 20% of the time. Even if we only manage to sidestep 15% points of the bad time, be in the right stocks for 10% point of the good time, we win. LTB&H will not likely work over the next few years, and so no choice but to at least try. Chugs, Jay

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