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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread
VTI 329.34-1.1%Nov 6 4:00 PM EST

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To: marc ultra who wrote (796)3/18/2001 9:30:56 AM
From: Lone Ranger  Read Replies (2) of 10065
 
marc,
i'm thankful rp refreshed my mind about this thread. your posts and most others are very thoughtful and academic in nature which lends the mind to exploring the probabilities of market direction. i will state a couple of my opinions.
if the naz goes down to 1400 then it will have made sense to sell some of your holdings at this level. the key is then to not be afraid to buy back in for fear of losing some of the eventual upside. but i believe just as it would have been wise to either sell early as the ctr failed to develop or to at least dollar cost average out of the failed rally, then it is very prudent here to buy back slowly in a dca manner. when your luck has been broken, it is then the time to decrease the size and value of your trades until your confidence and capital is restored. i fear for myself and others if we try to get "whole" in one fell swoop just as we over confidently accepted the fact that da brink could do no wrong, and therefore we over allocated to this trade. Personally, i'm looking for a way to buy back in as i have decreased my holdings in the cube related funds. I hope this post furthers the discussion and your analyses are appreciated as are the others on this thread.
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