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Politics : Sharks in the Septic Tank

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To: Lane3 who wrote (9122)	3/19/2001 4:29:20 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (1) of 82486

If the experts say that the chance of getting lung cancer from a certain exposure to asbestos is one in a thousand or one in ten million, that's close enough for my purposes. I'm really just interested in orders of magnitude. The former seems risky and the latter seems not. The problem is it that political factors cause the risks to be exagerated. If the chances where one in ten million that would probably cause the substance that causes that risk to be banned. If it is one in a trillion it might cause it to be heavily regulated. With things like vaccinations an informed parent might have a better idea of the risk then the "experts", because the parent knows more about his or her child. Since most young children aren't having sex or using intravenous drugs the risk for the hepatitis B virus should be very small, but states require kids get vaccinated against it. I think if the state is going to override the decisions of the individual or of a child's parents it should have to have a strong maybe even overwhelming case that there is very solid evidence of bad consiquences if it does not intervene. Tim

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