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Technology Stocks : Aahh...iNEXTV (AXC) The NEXT Thing!

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To: bootsup1 who wrote (3266)3/19/2001 7:44:06 PM
From: killybegs  Read Replies (3) of 4169
 
I'd like to propose that in the absence of analyst coverage at this time that we try an online, collaborative effort to build an earnings model for iNextv. If successful, the payoff to having a well constructed earnings model is its predictive uses.

Start with the revenue model:

After some thought, the model for revenues for iNextv can be expressed as follows:

Revenue=Total potential audience X Avg. Percent online daily X Avg Percent that view videos X Days X Payment

For Example:

Inextv Revenue =
20,000,000 potential audience
X
40% avg online daily
X
10% that are Streamers
x
360 Days
x
($80 for streaming ad + $15 for Banner)

In this example laid out in Excel
Revenues for iNextv would total 27 million....

Make suggestions to fine tune this...(the numbers at the iNextv site for Advertisers is a good place to start)

Can we more accurately forecast daily online percentages? For example, does 80% of Juno's audience log in everyday? 40%..of the daily log in what percent stream?

Does anyone know how to fit spreadsheets into SI?
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