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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis
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To: Terry Whitman who wrote (3617)3/21/2001 9:58:58 AM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (1) of 52237
 
Arguing that the Yardeni model was a leading indicator for the decline has little merit. All models saw things as overvalued. The more interesting question here is how deep the whiplash will be. The only thing that makes sense in that regard is to use models/data that incorporate bear markets. Yardeni's data does not include any bears and begins toward the end of a bull. All it shows is the top of the curve -- yes, the decline looks deep, but so does the NASDAQ decline if you only look at data from 1998 forward as all one sees is steep rise and steep decline. If you use a chart that goes back to the seventies, the decline does not look nearly as bad.

Cheers
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