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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity

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To: cnyndwllr who wrote (2193)	3/22/2001 9:55:24 AM
From: Evolution	Read Replies (1) of 23153

"Over the last decade this has only happened a handful of times, and in most cases the market was at a lower level one month later" Is this statistically significant? Let's see... a handful of times means maximum 5 times, probably only 4 times. Then "most cases" means not all cases, so it's got to be 3 times because had it been 2, it would mean a even chance to get one result or the other. So all that this statement is saying is that we saw this result happening once (the time that decided between 3/4 instead of 2/2), therefore it should happen again! Note that his is just an observation on the poor quality of some arguments by commentators; I am not saying one thing or the other will happen… Personally, I don’t have a clue. eV.

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