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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 659.03+1.0%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (73337)3/26/2001 9:27:14 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
George- If one accepts that we were in a bubble....then, in my mind....the next step is to define..."How big a bubble was it?".....The answer to that is: The biggest in the history of the world.

Now, perhaps there is a possibility that this can end quickly, fairly easily, etc....but if history is any guide.....we still have a long way to go.....

I am extremely open to any arguments as to WHY it will be any different this time (vs. past bubbles)....just haven't heard a lot of good ones...so, yes, I think it likely will take a lot more redemptions...

One last point: Many folks are saying: Look, the major mags all have a bear on the cover...therefore, look for a contrarian rally......maybe the REAL contrarian play here is...that all those articles are assuming this is a normal bear market......when the real Contrarian answer is that this will last longer, and deeper than what these mags currently think....hence, the contrarian indicator STILL works....just not the way everyone thinks....
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