Great links. I haven't read Gerard Jackson in a while, and I had forgotten how smart he is. Some illuminating statistics:
newaus.com.au
<<< The 1973 OPEC oil hike is often cited as a graphic example of cost-push inflation and the cause of the Western world's inflationary woes of the ‘70s. If this explanation was correct, then the biggest oil importers would have the highest inflation rates. They did not. Germany is wholly dependent on imported oil, as is Japan, yet after the oil hike its inflation rate was 7 per cent while that of Japan's was 25 per cent; Australia's inflation rate was 17 per cent, even though it was 75 per cent self-sufficient in oil; America, which imported about 50 per cent of its oil, had a 12 per cent inflation rate; Britain, which had become an oil exporter, laboured under an inflation rate of 25 per cent; Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, had a 35 per cent inflation rate.
The reasons for the different inflation rates is quite simple. Those countries with the lowest rates of monetary expansion enjoyed the lowest rates of inflation. What the vast majority of commentators are totally unable to grasp is that the OPEC price hike was basically deflationary. The monetary response of the Western world completely swamped what was initially deflationary. (Only Austrian economic theory draws attention to all of these facts and provides a comprehensive analysis). >>> |