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Technology Stocks : Silicon Graphics, Inc. (SGI)
SGI 89.05-0.3%9:37 AM EST

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To: Don Green who wrote (8677)3/27/2001 2:50:59 PM
From: Richard Habib  Read Replies (1) of 14451
 
Don, there is no evidence we are in recession. I'll tell you exactly what's going on. Three concurrent somewhat unrelated things. First, the equity bubble burst which has caused consumer confidence to dip. Second, dot com failures which caused a slowdown in tech spending. Third, the new vastly more real time supply chain management techniques of the last few years has caused decision makers to react strongly to a downturn in demand by slamming shut spending that even a few years ago would have dribbled to a stop over a longer period of time.

Those three things have made it appear the sky is falling. My prediction and you heard it hear first - 6 months from now, people will be wondering what the fuss was about. That doesn't mean stocks will go back to their highs (At least I hope not). It does mean that 6 months from now we will look at this tech spending slowdown as a glitch and not indicative of anything longer term. Rich
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