Waiting for the big Kahuna Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (50654)	3/29/2001 6:20:07 PM
From: Skeet Shipman	Read Replies (2) of 94695

From Fleck: Speaking of bottoms, a regular reader decided to do a little research on that subject, specifically in the area of capitulation. He went back to the 1929 to 1932 market collapse to see how well people would have done had they bought "capitulation." For the purpose of this exercise, he defined the term as a one-day 10% decline in the Dow. His research turned up 26 such instances of "capitulation." If you bought the tenth one, you lost 73% of your money by the bottom. If you bought the first one, you lost 87% of your money by the time the bottom was hit. grantsinvestor.com (subscription required)

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