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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 478.53-1.0%Dec 12 9:30 AM EST
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To: David Howe who wrote (56940)3/30/2001 1:43:28 AM
From: Dave  Read Replies (4) of 74651
 
Online gaming is going to be huge.

I believe that. I think that's why XBox's competitors ship with modems. I don't, however, think there will be much future for broadband games for a few years yet. It WILL happen. But at the moment when XBox ships, it will be a very small segment, and consequently there will be very few games that take advantage of it. I was a game programmer (Mac and PlayStation) a few years ago, and it is as true now as then that most games are designed and coded to be released on various platforms, and are therefore designed around the lowest common denominator. That's why broadband gaming is still a few years away. Besides, those few games that ARE designed around broadband will be released for PS2 and Dreamcast as well as XBox.

Don't get me wrong, if your home is wired for Ethernet, it's great to be able to use it on a game device so that you don't have to dial in. But in most games you'll be sending small amounts of data.

But you have to realize that you can buy an Ethernet adapter for a Dreamcast, and they tell me that one will be available for PS2 by the time XBox ships. If you've got a cable-modem or DSL connection, the additional cost of the Ethernet adapter is pretty insignificant compared to the cost of wiring your home.

So I believe that built-in Ethernet affords XBox no real advantage, just extra cost for those people whose homes aren't wired for Ethernet.

Dave
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