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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 318.63-3.0%Feb 3 3:59 PM EST

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To: SBerglowe who wrote (44797)3/30/2001 11:09:34 AM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (2) of 70976
 
Susan, >I do not have any confidence that it will rebound anytime soon<

Maybe you're not aware that AMAT is in an industry that is cyclic? Bookings at the moment are down from their heights and are expected to reach a floor in a few months. Then they will, if history is any guide, rise again. Stock price follows bookings more or less. You may want to look at historic bookings/shipments and book-to-bill charts. geocities.com

Regular posters here are counting on this cyclic recovery and some are hoping for lower prices to buy. If you have any questions about the semi equipment cycle, please ask. There are many who will be glad to reply. I assume you don't NEED to sell any time soon. Of special interest to you will be the charts showing historic AMAT price vs SEMI organization bookings and book-to-bill.

[We assume that Applied's bookings are proportional to bookings of the whole industry]

Gottfried
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