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Technology Stocks : Aahh...iNEXTV (AXC) The NEXT Thing!

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To: bootsup1 who wrote (3349)4/2/2001 1:09:04 AM
From: Trenton A. Scott   of 4169
 
Herr Doctor!

I found a large error in my cost model, so my previous numbers are not right. My bandwidth formula did not convert K-bits to K-bytes; I forgot to divide by 8! Also, I'm using a newer (Sept., 2000) streaming cost of $10/GB, reference:

thestandard.com

First, this is my swag at the upcoming quarter:

Syndication Network Population 20,000,000
Percentage that Watch Streams 40.00%
Percentage that Watch iNEXTV 33.33%
Percentage that Stream Daily 2.00%
Avg Daily Streams 1.14
Total Daily Streams 60,952
Broadband Percentage 40%
Narrowband Percentage 60%
Average Stream Duration (mins) 3.00
Ampex Bandwidth Cost per GB $10.00
Ampex Bandwidth Cost per MB $0.010

Broadband Cost
Avg. Daily Broadcast Time (secs) 4,388,571
Encoding Rate (Kbps) 163,840
Bandwidth KB Usage per Day 87,771,429
Bandwidth MB Usage per Day 85,714
Bandwidth GB Usage per Day 83.71
Bandwidth Cost per Day $857
Bandwidth Monthly Cost $26,071
Bandwidth Annual Cost $312,857

Narrowband Cost
Avg. Daily Broadcast Time (secs) 6,582,857
Encoding Rate (Kbps) 40,960
Bandwidth KB Usage per Day 32,914,286
Bandwidth MB Usage per Day 32,143
Bandwidth GB Usage per Day 31.39
Bandwidth Cost per Day $321
Bandwidth Monthly Cost $9,777
Bandwidth Annual Cost $117,321
Total Bandwidth Cost
Total Bandwidth Cost per Day $1,179
Total Bandwidth Cost per Month $35,848
Total Bandwidth Cost per Quarter $107,545
Total Bandwidth Cost per Year $430,179

Streaming Revenue Factors
Broadband Revs per 1000 Views $60.00
Narrowband Revs per 1000 Views $30.00
Total Daily Broadband Revs $3,657
Total Daily Narrowband Revs $1,829
Total Daily Revs $5,486
iNEXTV Revenue Percentage 75%
iNEXTV Daily Revs $4,114
iNEXTV Revs per Stream $0.068
iNEXTV Monthly Revs $125,143
iNEXTV Quarterly Revs $375,429
iNEXTV Annual Revs $1,501,714
iNEXTV Net Revs per Day $2,936
iNEXTV Net Monthly Revs $89,295
iNEXTV Net Quarterly Revs $267,884
iNEXTV Net Annual Revs $1,071,536

Now, some other scenarios proposed earlier:

Syndication Network Population 20,000,000
Percentage that Watch Streams 40.00%
Percentage that Watch iNEXTV 33.33%
Percentage that Stream Daily 5.00%
Avg Daily Streams 1.00
Total Daily Streams 133,333
Broadband Percentage 40%
Narrowband Percentage 60%
Average Stream Duration (mins) 3.00
Ampex Bandwidth Cost per GB $10.00
Ampex Bandwidth Cost per MB $0.010

Broadband Cost
Avg. Daily Broadcast Time (secs) 9,600,000
Encoding Rate (Kbps) 163,840
Bandwidth KB Usage per Day 192,000,000
Bandwidth MB Usage per Day 187,500
Bandwidth GB Usage per Day 183.11
Bandwidth Cost per Day $1,875
Bandwidth Monthly Cost $57,031
Bandwidth Annual Cost $684,375

Narrowband Cost
Avg. Daily Broadcast Time (secs) 14,400,000
Encoding Rate (Kbps) 40,960
Bandwidth KB Usage per Day 72,000,000
Bandwidth MB Usage per Day 70,313
Bandwidth GB Usage per Day 68.66
Bandwidth Cost per Day $703
Bandwidth Monthly Cost $21,387
Bandwidth Annual Cost $256,641
Total Bandwidth Cost
Total Bandwidth Cost per Day $2,578
Total Bandwidth Cost per Month $78,418
Total Bandwidth Cost per Quarter $235,254
Total Bandwidth Cost per Year $941,016

Streaming Revenue Factors
Broadband Revs per 1000 Views $65.00
Narrowband Revs per 1000 Views $35.00
Total Daily Broadband Revs $8,667
Total Daily Narrowband Revs $4,667
Total Daily Revs $13,333
iNEXTV Revenue Percentage 75%
iNEXTV Daily Revs $10,000
iNEXTV Revs per Stream $0.075
iNEXTV Monthly Revs $304,167
iNEXTV Quarterly Revs $912,500
iNEXTV Annual Revs $3,650,000
iNEXTV Net Revs per Day $7,422
iNEXTV Net Monthly Revs $225,749
iNEXTV Net Quarterly Revs $677,246
iNEXTV Net Annual Revs $2,708,984

And one more:

Syndication Network Population 20,000,000
Percentage that Watch Streams 40.00%
Percentage that Watch iNEXTV 33.33%
Percentage that Stream Daily 5.00%
Avg Daily Streams 3.00
Total Daily Streams 400,000
Broadband Percentage 90%
Narrowband Percentage 10%
Average Stream Duration (mins) 3.00
Ampex Bandwidth Cost per GB $10.00
Ampex Bandwidth Cost per MB $0.010

Broadband Cost
Avg. Daily Broadcast Time (secs) 64,800,000
Encoding Rate (Kbps) 163,840
Bandwidth KB Usage per Day 1,296,000,000
Bandwidth MB Usage per Day 1,265,625
Bandwidth GB Usage per Day 1,235.96
Bandwidth Cost per Day $12,656
Bandwidth Monthly Cost $384,961
Bandwidth Annual Cost $4,619,531

Narrowband Cost
Avg. Daily Broadcast Time (secs) 7,200,000
Encoding Rate (Kbps) 40,960
Bandwidth KB Usage per Day 36,000,000
Bandwidth MB Usage per Day 35,156
Bandwidth GB Usage per Day 34.33
Bandwidth Cost per Day $352
Bandwidth Monthly Cost $10,693
Bandwidth Annual Cost $128,320
Total Bandwidth Cost
Total Bandwidth Cost per Day $13,008
Total Bandwidth Cost per Month $395,654
Total Bandwidth Cost per Quarter $1,186,963
Total Bandwidth Cost per Year $4,747,852

Streaming Revenue Factors
Broadband Revs per 1000 Views $65.00
Narrowband Revs per 1000 Views $35.00
Total Daily Broadband Revs $26,000
Total Daily Narrowband Revs $14,000
Total Daily Revs $40,000
iNEXTV Revenue Percentage 75%
iNEXTV Daily Revs $30,000
iNEXTV Revs per Stream $0.075
iNEXTV Monthly Revs $912,500
iNEXTV Quarterly Revs $2,737,500
iNEXTV Annual Revs $10,950,000
iNEXTV Net Revs per Day $16,992
iNEXTV Net Monthly Revs $516,846
iNEXTV Net Quarterly Revs $1,550,537
iNEXTV Net Annual Revs $6,202,148

Regards,
Trent
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