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Pastimes : 2001 NCAA College Basketball March Madness

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To: HH who wrote (231)4/2/2001 1:22:17 PM
From: lisalisalisa  Read Replies (2) of 260
 
Arenas is injured, but says he will play. I am sure he will play, and probably well, adrenaline does amazing things.

Sometimes if I think a team might jump to an early lead I will take the team for entire game and then bet the other team at half to try and create a middle where I can win both bets.

For instance on sat Duke/MD game I took MD+5 for 100. With MD up 11 at half, I took duke -8.5 at half for 50. his does two things it creates a middle area where I could win both bets, and hedges against a Duke big comeback (which happened). If duke would have lost by 3 or more I would have won original bet and lost halftime bet for a gain of 50. IF duke would have lost by 2 to won by 4 I would have won both bets for 150. Since Duke won by more than 5 I ended up losing 50.

But if team you are betting on is losing this it does not work and you are stuck with original bet...

Just something to think about.

Anyway the key in my eyes is Arizona controlling Williams. I think if they can keep Williams from dominating game they have a good chance of winning. I believe they can do this by running three different Defenders at him and also playing an extended Zone. Arizona defenders Jefferson, and Arenas are both very quick and extremly long and have caused other teams offense problems as it is hard to pass or see around or over them. Woods at 7' 1" and a great shot blocker allows for Arizona backcourt to take a lot of chances, because the guards know if they get beat woods will be able to erase many of thier mistakes by challengeing the shot. Duke may counter by going to Boozer and trying to get woods into foul trouble, this is key because if that happens it may limit the Arizona guards aggresivness.

Good luck in whoever you choose.
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