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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 42.84+7.0%12:14 PM EST

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To: Road Walker who wrote (131571)4/3/2001 7:17:30 PM
From: Harry Landsiedel  Read Replies (1) of 186894
 
John Fowler. Re: "I thought we hit bottom several times, and was wrong. I wonder what other folks think." I think the buyers are still sitting on the sidelines. To give you an idea of what "value" buyers consider a good entry point, Bill Miller (Legg Mason) starts buying when a beaten down company hits 10 times cash flow. That's where he entered IBM several years ago and made a lot of money.

Applying that to Intel, using a .73 EPS for 2001 and another .77 in depreciation/amortization, that suggests serious buying at around $15.

Looking at Intel's recent history, for what it's worth, the low could be a little higher ($18-$20). Of course, if Intel guides down from the current consensus, it could go lower and if Intel surprises on the upside, it could be higher. But that's a couple of benchmarks, which would suggest we have a way to go.

HL

PS Mr. Miller also bought one million more shares of Amazon at $11, so his judgement may not be all that good or representative.:)
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