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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Olaf Koch who started this subject4/4/2001 11:24:19 AM
From: Malcolm Winfield  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
JIML, One could argue that when has the OSX rallied just because energy prices were high? The last time we had oil over 30 / bbl. it put pressured the entire sector due to fears of inflation or recession, granted that some of it was the war premium factored in. My bullishness is not hinging on earnings, or energy prices, or SUV purchases, but a combination of these things. Now here we sit with the OPEC basket bouncing around 23 bucks and demand is still strong. Every time we go through a period of deflating the price of oil, we suffer this retraction in OSX stock prices -- been here before too. Is this the end of the boom? I don't think so. The end has come so many times in the past two years that I'm tired of trying to call it. But this time for sure -- right? I'm just focusing on fundamentals and they're all good. Yeah, I didn't mention the "R" word either because although there is a downturn in manufacturing - air travel is at an all time high, large autos are still the rage, and more people are demanding more power daily. Just because electron man is coming to an end on the NAZ (I don't think so) doesn't mean that Hydrocarbon man has to die off too. I just down see us going back to 10 / bbl oil.

Good luck.
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