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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
QCOM 174.54-0.4%1:54 PM EST

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To: RealMuLan who wrote (96875)4/5/2001 9:46:01 AM
From: JohnG  Read Replies (2) of 152472
 
Yiwu. The rules for use of international water and air space have developed over hundreds of years and no country, especially the US, will be wiling to concede its rights under these rules. Under these rules, the US is quite free to place recon planes in internatonal waters --i.e. outside the 12 mile limit. Thus the direction China has taken will be as unfruitful as has been the lack of sensitivity Bush showed toward the loss of the Chinese airman. Thus China's options to reduce recon fleights are to apply some other inducement, but this means such a reduction would necessarily be by mutual agreement. It's just not feasible for China to expect to be able to get what it wants by taking actions that violate these rules because other maratime nations will agree that China violated the long accepted rules of the game.

China may say that it has no obligation to play by other people's rules and be successful to some extent because, after all, politics is the art of the possible--meaning applying power in some form to get others to do what you want them to do.

The best course here is for the US to show some genuine sensitivity toward the loss of life and for the US and China to attempt to negotiate some less dangerous rules for playing the cat and mouse spy plane game. Alternately, continuing improving relations between the US and China will eventually lead the US to feel it is wasting its time and money on such fleights and lead China to feel that the US recon is not that threatening because there is no chance of military conflict between the two. This can happen if China evolvs to a more free and open society -- which it need to do anyway if it is to develop its economy.
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