WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) "face challenges to sustaining their high rates of profit growth," the Bush Administration said Monday.
The Administration said in part that total mortgage debt financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has been increasing more quickly than residential mortgage debt outstanding, suggesting their charters eventually could limit their ability to expand their mortgage asset portfolios.
At the same time, however, the Administration said the benefit of government sponsorship enjoyed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is one factor that may help the two mortgage finance giants maintain "relatively high profitability." The Administration discussed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - both government-sponsored enterprises charged with assisting housing - in an "analytical perspectives" section of its complete budget for fiscal year 2002.
The budget was released Monday morning.
Fannie Mae and Freddie have achieved strong growth in profits in recent years, "in large part by rapidly growing their debt-financed holdings of mortgage assets," the Administration said.
"From September 1997 to September 2000, their mortgage asset portfolios more than doubled in dollar volume," it said, adding that "increased retained portfolios may imply increased interest rate exposure." To fund their rapidly growing asset portfolios, the Administration said, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have increased sharply their outstanding debt. "The GSEs' combined debt outstanding rose from $196 billion at the end of calendar year 1992 to $1.07 trillion at the end of calendar year 2000, an average growth rate of nearly 24% a year," it said.
In elaborating on its statement that the firms face challenges to sustaining their high rates of profit growth, the Administration said: "A small number of large originatorsaccount for a large proportion of single-family mortgages that the GSEs buy and securitize. Larger firms may have somewhat greater market power in negotiating with the GSEs over guarantee fees. Further, total mortgage debt financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been increasing more quickly than residential mortgage debt outstanding, which suggests that their charters could eventually limit the GSEs' ability to expand their mortgage asset portfolios.
"There also may be limits to the amount of mortgage securiites the GSEs can finance with debt at attractive margins and the amount of counterparty risk exposure to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that other market participants are willing to absorb," the Administration budget document continued.
"The benefit of government sponsorship, however, is one factor that may help Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to maintain relatively high profitability," it added.
With respect to another housing-related GSE, the Federal Home Loan Bank System, the Administration said the FHLBanks' investment activities "pose important public policy issues about the degree to which their asset composition adequately reflects the mission of the system" to assist housing.
The Administration said the FHLBank System, like other GSES, issues debt securities at close to U.S. Treasury rates and invests the proceeds in higher-yielding securities. |