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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: AllansAlias who wrote (92215)4/10/2001 12:48:22 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (1) of 436258
 
Nice bit of wisdom from Dave Landry of TradingMarkets.com on shorting deeply oversold stocks in a bear market:

It seems that lately, going short has been as easy as it was to go long back in late 1999 and early 2000. What concerns me is that the market isn't fair. As soon as it gets "easy," it quickly changes. Over the weekend, I began searching for some words to describe the dangers of trading in such an oversold environment. True, the trend is your friend, but oversold environments are prone to correct against you. Then on Saturday morning, I read Boucher (If you haven't read Mark yet, I suggests you do so. Well done Mark.). Rather than try to invent my own words, I thought I use his:

"There are few trickier environments than a deeply oversold bear market. Such a market can rally extremely sharply at any time. The Naz could easily rally 20%-30% without interrupting the bear trend down. There are false rallies that make one think maybe lower rates are finally beginning to take hold. And then some bit of bad news will make the market re-think and send it to test or make new lows."


Yep.
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