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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH
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To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (138284)4/13/2001 11:28:32 PM
From: dale_laroy  Read Replies (1) of 769667
 
"The investment in Military build-up and technology created the fruit of the peaceful collapse of the Soviet Union and the technology seeds of the information economy."

Back in the late seventies, the RAND Corporation was commissioned to do a study on what steps taken by the U.S. could bring about the collapse of the Soviet Union by the end of the 80s. They ran many simulations assuming multiple strategies. The results were that, no matter what the U.S. did the Soviet Union would collapse by the end of the 80s. The greatest difference was that the greater the U.S. military buildup, the greater the risk of a preemptive nuclear attack by the Soviet Union.

If the simulations were accurate, Reagan actually delayed the collapse of the Soviet Union by anywhere from a few months to a couple of years.

Then again, in the early 80s, the computers of the National Weather Service were predicting supersonic winds at ground level. The National Weather Service, instead of going with these predictions, stated they were pretty sure the simulations had broken down.

Personally, I think that while one simulation would not have been very conclusive, the fact that all the simulation of the RAND Corporation indicated that the Soviet Union would collapse by the end of the 80s regardless of what the U.S. did places the argument that Reagan was responsible for the collapse of the Soviet Union in serious jeopardy.
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