Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: BigShoulders who wrote (13694)	4/14/2001 12:20:31 PM
From: BigShoulders	Read Replies (1) of 42834

I added Brinker's portfolio 2. Also made minor corrections to results of portfolio 1 based on comments from my auditor <g> Re: All this conjecture about how good or bad Brinker's recent calls have made me curious too. I ran 3 variations for each of Brinker's portfolios 1 & 2 for comparison Brinker describes Portfolio 1, as...aggressive growth....investors seeking max returns ... high risk and volatility.... and Portfolio 2 as for investors with long term growth objectives...seek to enhance value of capital...assume reasonable level of diversified market risk... Portfolio 1 - 100% in stocks. This portfolio assumes all the stocks in Brinker's portfolio 1 prior to January 2000 were held until today. All dividends reinvested. Portfolio 1A - Brinker's new portfolio 1 from January 2000 newsletter after raising cash reserves now 40% stock, 60 cash; raised 5% additional cash 8/2/00 now 35% stock and 65% cash; then on 10/12/00, half of cash put into QQQ's for "Counter Trend Rally 2" (maximum of 30% to 50% range recommended by Brinker for aggressive investors). Dividends reinvested. Cash in Vanguard Prime Reserve MMF. Portfolio 1B - same as 1A except no investment in QQQ for CTR2 Portfolio 2 was evaluated in a similar manner as portfolio 1 except that for 2A, 30% of available cash was put into QQQ's (Brinker had recommended 30-50% for aggressive investors and 20-30% for conservative investors) Results as of 4/12/01 based on a start date of 1/5/00 Port 1 -26.5% Port 1A -18.6% Port 1B -3.5% Port 2 -20.8% Port 2A -12.3% Port 2B -2.7% NASDAQ Comp -49.4% S&P 500 -15.6% I haven't run Brinker's portfolio 3 (balanced portfolio). But I guesstimate the results Port 3 Probably about break even? Port 3A + 3% Port 3B + 6% Would be interesting to see how this has done.

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