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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 72.10+1.4%Nov 10 3:59 PM EST

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To: Eric who wrote (51628)4/17/2001 11:54:52 AM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (2) of 77397
 
They still stated 30 to 50% growth going forward...for the long haul.... 3 to 5 year forecast and I still see that remaining intact

well, let's take their current guidance: 30% down this Q and assume 10% down next Q. well, if they then grow 30% from there, in two years they will be 6.47% above where they were last Q. so in this scenario, they will have achieved less than 3% CAGR starting from last Q, but they can say they grew 30% CAGR from Q4 01. nice job!

that is why i question why they keep trumpeting the 30-50% stuff. WHAT DOES IT MEAN. if they mean 30-50% CAGR from Q1 01, WHAT IS THEIR BASIS FOR SAYING IT, AND WHY SHOULD WE BELIEVE THEM.
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